Wednesday, March 28, 2012

725. Two Third of Americans Want an End to the War in Afghanistan, New Poll Shows


American soldiers urinate on the
bodies of the dead in Afghanistan

By The New York Times, March 27, 2012
In Tuesday’s New York Times, Elisabeth Bumiller and Allison Kopicki write about findings from the latest New York Times/CBS News poll, which found two-thirds of those polled — 69 percent — thought that the United States should not be at war in Afghanistan.
They report:  
The increased disillusionment was even more pronounced when respondents were asked their impressions of how the war was going. The poll found that 68 percent thought the fighting was going “somewhat badly” or “very badly,” compared with 42 percent who had those impressions in November.

The results of the New York Times/CBS News poll align with several others done recently on the same question, including a Pew Research Center poll and a Gallup/USA Today poll. And the negative view of the war also appears to be growing increasingly bipartisan. According to Ms. Bumiller and Ms. Kopicki, 60 percent of Republican respondents said the war was going somewhat or very badly, up 20 percent since the poll in November. And among Democrats, 68 percent said the war was going somewhat or very badly, compared with 38 percent in November.
The poll comes in the midst a flurry of bad news from the battlefield, including accusations that Staff Sgt. Robert Bales of the Army killed 17 Afghan civilians in the Panjwai district, in southern Kandahar Province, in early March, and violence set off by the burning last month of Korans by American troops. Most recently, there have been several attacks on NATO troops in Afghanistan and a suspected plot to blow up commuter buses near the Afghan Defense Ministry.

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

724. E. O. Wilson: Why Care About the Crisis of Nature



The following is a slightly abridged "Why Care" (Chapter 4) of E. O. Wilson's The Creation. It presents a biologist view of why humanity should care about the current present-day crisis of nature.  Other views have been presented earlier and will be presented later.  K.N.

*     *     * 

Consider, then, the following truth, which because of its importance deserves to be called the First Principle of Human Ecology: Homo sapiens is a species confined to an extremely small niche. True, our minds soar out to the edge of the universe. And contract inward to subatomic particles, the two extremes encompassing thirty powers of ten in space. In this respect our intellects are godlike. But let’s face it, our bodies stay trapped inside a proportionately microscopic bubble of physical constraints. We have learned how to occupy some of Earth’s most hostile environments—but only when enclosed within airtight containers whose environment is precisely controlled. Polar ice caps, the deep sea, and the moon are ours to visit, but even slight malfunctions of the life-support capsule in which we travel can be terminal to frail little Homo sapiens. Prolonged residence there, even when physically possible, is psychologically unbearable.

Here is my point: Earth provides a self-regulating bubble that sustains us indefinitely without any thought or contrivance on our own.  This protective shield is the biosphere, the totality of life, creator of all air, cleanser of all water, manager of all soil, but itself a fragile membrane that barely clings to the surface of the plant.  Humanity, as Darwin observed at the close of The Ascent of Man, bears the indelible stamp of our lowly origin from preexisting life forms…

The First Principle of Human Ecology can be put another way: Alien planets are not inn out genes. If organisms exist on Mars, Europa, or Titanis, then these planets are in their genes, and those will surely differ radically from ours.

It follows that human self-interest is best served by not overly harming the other life forms on earth that still survive. Environmental damage can be defined contrary to humanity’s inborn physical and emotional needs. We are not evolving autonomously into something new.  Nor are we likely in the foreseeable future to change our basic nature by genetic engineering, as some giddily futuristic writers have envisioned. Scientific knowledge may continue to grow without limit, or it may not.  But either way, human biology and emotions will stay the same far into the future, because our immensely complicated cerebral cortex can tolerate little tinkering, because human beings cannot mutate like bacteria to fit every environment we spoil, and because, ultimately, finally and quite simply, we may choose to remain true to human nature, the heritage bequeathed us by millions of years of residence in the biosphere.

Here, then, is another argument for existential conservatism.  Beyond the curing of obvious hereditary diseases such as multiple sclerosis and sickle-cell anemia, by gene substitution, the human genome will be modified only at risk.  It is far better to work with human nature as it is, by changing our social institutions and moral precepts to get a more nearly optimal fit to our genes, than it would be to tinker with something that took eons of trail and error to create.

The problem of modern civilization rises from the disjunction between our ancient and glacially slow-evolving genetic heritage at one level of evolution and our ultra-fast cultural evolution at the other level.  There are still thinkers around the world, some in commanding political and religious positions, who wish to base moral law on the sacred scripture of Iran Age desert kingdoms while using high technology to conduct tribal wars—of course with the presumed blessing of their respective tribal gods. The increasing contrast of such retrograde thinking should make us more circumspect than ever, and not just about starting wars.  It should also make us more careful with the environment, upon which our lives ultimately depend.  It will be prudent to curtail the final and permanent obliteration of Nature until we understand more precisely what we are and what we are doing.

The destructive power of Homo sapiens has no limit, even though our biomass is almost invisibly small. It is mathematically possible to log-stack all the people on Earth into a single block of one cubic mile and lower them out of sight in a remote part of the Grand Canyon.  Yet humanity is already the first species in the history of life to become a geophysical force.  We have, all by our bipedal, wobbly-headed selves, altered Earth’s atmosphere and climate away from the norm. We have spread thousands of toxic chemicals worldwide, appropriated 40 percent of the solar energy available for photosynthesis, converted almost all of the easily arable land, dammed most of the rivers, raised the planet sea level, and now, in a manner likely to get everyone’s attention like nothing else before, we are close to running out of fresh water.  A collateral effect of all this frantic activity is the continuing extinction of world ecosystems, along with the species that compose them. This also happens to be the only human impact that is irreversible.

With all the troubles that humanity faces, why should we care about the condition of living Nature? What difference will it make if a few or even half of all the species on earth are exterminated? Many reasons exist fundamental to human weal. Unimaginably vast sources of scientific information and biological wealth will be destroyed. Opportunity costs, which will be better understood by our descendants than by ourselves, will be staggering. Gone forever will be undisclosed medicines, crops, timbers, fibers, soil-restoring vegetation, petroleum substitutes, and other products and amenities.

Critics of environmentalism (whatever that overused term means—aren’t we all environmentalists?) usually wave aside the small and unfamiliar, which they tend to classify into two categories, bugs and weeds. It is easy for them to overlook the fact that these creatures make up most of the organisms and species on Earth. They forget, if they ever knew, how the voracious caterpillars of an obscure moth from the American tropics saved Australia’s pastureland from the outgrowth of cactus; how Madagascar “weed,” the rosy periwinkle, provided the alkaloids that cure most cases of Hodgkin’s disease and acute childhood leukemia; how another substance from an obscure Norwegian fungus made possible the organ transplant industry; how a chemical from the saliva of leeches yielded a solvent that prevent blood clots during and after surgery; and so on through the pharmacopoeia that has stretched from the herbal medicines pf Stone Age shamans to the magic-bullet cures of present-day biomedical science.

Because wild natural ecosystems are in plain sight, it is also easy to take for granted the environmental services they provide humanity. Wild species enrich the soil, cleanse the water, and pollinate most the flowering plants.  They create the very air we breathe. Without these amenities, the reminder of human history would be nasty and brief.  The sustaining matrix of our existence is the green plants, along with legions of microorganisms and tiny invertebrates.  These organisms support the world because they are so genetically diverse, allowing them to divide roles in the ecosystem in a fine degree of resolution, and so abundant that at least a few occupy virtually every square meter of Earth’s surface.  Their functions in the ecosystem are redundant; if one species is eliminated, there is often another able to expand and at least partially take its place.  All together the other species, mostly bugs and weeds, run the world exactly as we should want it run, because during prehistory humanity evolved to depend upon their combined actions and the insurance that biodiversity provides world stability.

Living nature is nothing more than the commonality of organisms in the wild state and the physical and chemical equilibrium their species generate through interaction with one another.  But it is also nothing less than that commonality and equilibrium. The power of living Nature lies in sustainability through complexity. Destabilize it by degrading it to a simpler state, as we seem bent on doing, and the result could be catastrophic. The organisms most affected are likely to be the largest and most complex, including human beings.

More respect is due the little things that run the world. Being and entomologist, I will now use insects to plead the class-action case on behalf of the Earth’s entire afflicted fauna and flora.  The diversity of insects is the greatest documented among all organisms: the total number of species classified in 2006 is about 900,000.  The true number, combining those both known and remaining to be discovered, may exceed 10 million. The biomass of insects is immense: about a million trillion are alive at any moment.  Ants alone, of which there may be 10 thousand trillion, weigh roughly as much as all 6.5 billion human beings.  While these estimates are still shaky (to put the matter generously), there is no doubt that insects rank near the top among animals in physical bulk.  They are rivaled there in biomass by copepods (minute sea crustaceans), mites (tiny spider like arthropods), and, at the very apex, the amazing nematode worms, whose vast population swarms, probably representing millions of species, make up four-fifth of all animals on Earth. Can anyone believe that these little creatures are just there to fill space?

People need insects to survive, but insects do not need us. If all humankind were to disappear tomorrow, it is unlikely that a single insect species would go extinct, except three forms of human body and head lice.   Even then there would remain gorilla lice, closely related to the human parasites and available to carry on at least something close to the ancient line. In two or three centuries, with humans gone, the ecosystems of the world regenerate back to the rich state of near equilibrium that existed ten thousand years ago or so, minus of course the many species that we have pushed into extinction. 

But if insects were to vanish, the terrestrial environment would soon collapse into chaos.  Picture the steps of the cataclysm, as it would likely unfold across the first several decades:

·               A majority of the flowering plants, upon being deprived of their pollinators, cease to reproduce.
·               Most herbaceous plant species among them spiral down to extinction. Insect-pollinated shrubs and trees hang on for a few more years, in rare cases up to centuries.
·               The great majority of birds and other land vertebrates, now denied the specialized foliage, fruits, and insects prey on which they feed, follow the plants into oblivion.
·               The soil remains largely unturned, accelerating plant decline, because insects, not earthworms as generally supposed, are the principal turner and renewer of the soil.
·               Populations of fungi and bacteria explode and remain at a peak over a few years while metabolizing the dead plant and animal material that pile up.
·               Wind-pollinated grasses and a handful of fern and conifer species spread over much of the deforested terrain, then decline to some extent as the soil deteriorates.
·               The human species survives, able to fall back on wind-pollinated grains and marine fishing. But amid widespread starvation during the first several decades, human population plunges to a small fraction of their former level. The wars for control of the dwindling resources, the suffering, and the tumultuous decline to dark-age barbarism would be unprecedented in human history.
·               Clinging to survival in a devastated world, and trapped in an ecological dark age, the survivors would offer prayers for the return of weeds and bugs.

 The bottom line of my scenario is this: be careful with pesticides. Do not give thought to diminishing the insect world. It would be a serious mistake to let even one species out of the millions on Earth go extinct. That is, let me add quickly, with an extremely few exceptions.  I’d vote for the eradication of the aforementioned lice (the gravamen against them: limited to humans, serious skin pests, threats to quality of life, carriers of disease).  Also, I’d not mourn the passing of mosquitoes of the Anopheles gambiae complex of Africa, species that are specialized to feed on human blood, during which they transmit malignant malaria.  Keep their DNA for future research and let them go.  Let us not be conservation absolutists when it comes to creatures specialized to feed on human beings.

In the real world there is a need to control only the tiny fraction of inset species, perhaps as few as one out of ten thousand, that are consistently harmful to humans.  In most cases control means to reduce and if possible to eradicate populations of such species in countries where they are aliens, usually having been transported there by humans as unintended hitchhikers.  Take, for example, the red imported fire ant that has vexed the southern United States since the 1940s and has recently spread from there to California, the Caribbean islands, Australia, New Zealand, and China. It inflicts hundreds of millions of dollars in agricultural losses each year. Its stings are painful and occasionally fatal, usually as a result of anaphylactic shock triggered by the venom.  It has displaced some native insects and reduced wildlife populations. Obviously it would be wise to erase invading populations of the red fire ant—if only entomologists could find a way.  But the same is not true for southern Brazil and northern Argentina, where the ant is not imported but a native species, ecologically adjusted by millions of years of co-evolution with other native species.  In their South American home they are in balance with predators, and competitors.  Otherwise they would have become extinct ages ago.  In the United States their enemies are fewer in number and weaker.  Removal of the alien fire ant populations would be healthy for both people and the environment of the countries they have colonized.  Removal from South America, in contrast, might cause damage to the ecosystems in which they are co-adapted with other species and live harmoniously.

One of the daunting challenges of the modern discipline of ecology is to sort out such pluses and minuses of living Nature in order better to define the inner structure of the biosphere. There is hope that in time researchers will learn how ecosystems are assembled, how they are sustained, and more precisely how they come to be destabilized. Earth is a laboratory wherein Nature…has laid before us the results of countless experiments. She speaks to us; now let us listen. 

Thursday, March 22, 2012

723. Greenland Ice Sheet May Melt Completely With 1.6 Degrees of Global Warming


Greenland ice sheet melting
By ScienceDaily, March 12, 2012 

The Greenland ice sheet is likely to be more vulnerable to global warming than previously thought. The temperature threshold for melting the ice sheet completely is in the range of 0.8 to 3.2 degrees Celsius of global warming, with a best estimate of 1.6 degrees above pre-industrial levels, shows a new study by scientists from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Universidad Complutense de Madrid. Today, already 0.8 degrees of global warming has been observed. Substantial melting of land ice could contribute to long-term sea-level rise of several meters and therefore it potentially affects the lives of many millions of people.

The time it takes before most of the ice in Greenland is lost strongly depends on the level of warming. "The more we exceed the threshold, the faster it melts," says Alexander Robinson, lead-author of the study now published in Nature Climate Change. In a business-as-usual scenario of greenhouse-gas emissions, in the long run humanity might be aiming at 8 degrees Celsius of global warming. This would result in one fifth of the ice sheet melting within 500 years and a complete loss in 2000 years, according to the study. "This is not what one would call a rapid collapse," says Robinson. "However, compared to what has happened in our planet's history, it is fast. And we might already be approaching the critical threshold."

In contrast, if global warming would be limited to 2 degrees Celsius, complete melting would happen on a timescale of 50.000 years. Still, even within this temperature range often considered a global guardrail, the Greenland ice sheet is not secure. Previous research suggested a threshold in global temperature increase for melting the Greenland ice sheet of a best estimate of 3.1 degrees, with a range of 1.9 to 5.1 degrees. The new study's best estimate indicates about half as much.

"Our study shows that under certain conditions the melting of the Greenland ice sheet becomes irreversible. This supports the notion that the ice sheet is a tipping element in the Earth system," says team-leader Andrey Ganopolski of PIK. "If the global temperature significantly overshoots the threshold for a long time, the ice will continue melting and not regrow -- even if the climate would, after many thousand years, return to its preindustrial state." This is related to feedbacks between the climate and the ice sheet: The ice sheet is over 3000 meters thick and thus elevated into cooler altitudes. When it melts its surface comes down to lower altitudes with higher temperatures, which accelerates the melting. Also, the ice reflects a large part of solar radiation back into space. When the area covered by ice decreases, more radiation is absorbed and this adds to regional warming.

The scientists achieved their insights by using a novel computer simulation of the Greenland ice sheet and the regional climate. This model performs calculations of these physical systems including the most important processes, for instance climate feedbacks associated with changes in snowfall and melt under global warming. The simulation proved able to correctly calculate both the observed ice-sheet of today and its evolution over previous glacial cycles, thus increasing the confidence that it can properly assess the future. All this makes the new estimate of Greenland temperature threshold more reliable than previous ones.

Story Source:
The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).
Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:
  1. Alexander Robinson, Reinhard Calov, Andrey Ganopolski.Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheetNature Climate Change, 2012; DOI:10.1038/NCLIMATE1449

722. Insecticides Are Tied to Honeybee Colony Collapse Disorder


Corn insecticides are tied to honeybee
colony collapse disorder
By ScienceDaily,  March 14, 2012  

New research has linked springtime die-offs of honeybees critical for pollinating food crops -- part of the mysterious malady called colony collapse disorder -- with technology for planting corn coated with insecticides.

The study, published in ACS' journal Environmental Science & Technology, appears on the eve of spring planting seasons in some parts of Europe where farmers use the technology and widespread deaths of honeybees have occurred in the past.

In the study, Andrea Tapparo and colleagues explain that seeds coated with so-called neonicotinoid insecticides went into wide use in Europe in the late 1990s. The insecticides are among the most widely used in the world, popular because they kill insects by paralyzing nerves but have lower toxicity for other animals. Almost immediately, beekeepers observed large die-offs of bees that seemed to coincide with mid-March to May corn planting. Scientists thought this might be due to particles of insecticide made airborne by the pneumatic drilling machines used for planting. These machines forcefully suck seeds in and expel a burst of air containing high concentrations of particles of the insecticide coating. In an effort to make the pneumatic drilling method safer, the scientists tested different types of insecticide coatings and seeding methods.

They found, however, that all of the variations in seed coatings and planting methods killed honeybees that flew through the emission cloud of the seeding machine. One machine modified with a deflector to send the insecticide-laced air downwards still caused the death of more than 200 bees foraging in the field. The authors suggest that future work on this problem should focus on a way to prevent the seeds from fragmenting inside the pneumatic drilling machines.

The authors acknowledge funding from the University of Padova and the Ministero delle Politiche Agricole Alimentari e Forestali, Italy.

Story Source:
The above story is reprinted from materials provided byAmerican Chemical Society.
Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:
  1. Andrea Tapparo, Daniele Marton, Chiara Giorio, Alessandro Zanella, Lidia Soldà, Matteo Marzaro, Linda Vivan, Vincenzo Girolami. Assessment of the Environmental Exposure of Honeybees to Particulate Matter Containing Neonicotinoid Insecticides Coming from Corn Coated SeedsEnvironmental Science & Technology, 2012; : 120217095058002 DOI: 10.1021/es2035152

721. Plants 'Remember' Drought, Change Responses to Survive


Nobbies are draught tolerant 
By ScienceDaily,  March 15, 2012 

Plants subjected to a previous period of drought learn to deal with the stress thanks to their memories of the experience, new research has found. The findings could lead to development of crops better able to withstand drought.

The research also confirms for the first time the scientific basis for what home gardeners and nursery professionals have often learned through hard experience: Transplants do better when water is withheld for a few days to drought harden them before the move.

"This phenomenon of drought hardening is in the common literature but not really in the academic literature," said Michael Fromm, a University of Nebraska-Lincoln plant scientist who was part of the research team. "The mechanisms involved in this process seem to be what we found."

Working with Arabidopsis, a member of the mustard family considered an excellent model for plant research, the team of Fromm, plant molecular biologist Zoya Avramova and post-doctoral fellow Yong Ding compared the reaction of plants that had been previously stressed by withholding water to those not previously stressed.

The pre-stressed plants bounced back more quickly the next time they were dehydrated. Specifically, the nontrained plants wilted faster than trained plants and their leaves lost water at a faster rate than trained plants.

"The plants 'remember' dehydration stress. It will condition them to survive future drought stress and transplanting," Fromm said.

The team found that the trained plants responded to subsequent dehydration by increasing transcription of a certain subset of genes. During recovery periods when water is available, transcription of these genes returns to normal levels, but following subsequent drought periods the plants remember their transcriptional response to stress and induce these genes to higher levels in this subsequent drought stress.

"All of this is driven by events at the molecular level," Avramova said. "We demonstrate that this transcriptional memory is associated with chromatin changes that seem to be involved in maintaining this memory."

Arabidopsis forgets this previous stress after five days of watering, though other plants may differ in that memory time.

This is the first instance of transcriptional memory found in any life form above yeasts. This discovery may lead to breeding or engineering of crops that would better withstand drought, although practical applications of these findings in agriculture are years away, Fromm said.

"We're a long way off. We're just starting to get a basic understanding," Fromm said. "It's possible plants overreact to a first drought stress. They panic, they slow down more than they need to."

Perhaps scientists can modify those instincts in plants to help maintain or improve productivity during times of drought, he added.
But home gardeners can make immediate use of these findings.

"If I was transplanting something, I would deprive it of water for a couple of days, then water overnight, then transplant," Fromm said.

The work is the subject of an article this week in the online journal Nature Communications and is funded by the National Science Foundation.

Story Source:
The above story is reprinted from materials provided byUniversity of Nebraska-Lincoln, via Newswise.
Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:
  1. Yong Ding, Michael Fromm, Zoya Avramova. Multiple exposures to drought 'train' transcriptional responses in ArabidopsisNature Communications, 2012; 3: 740 DOI: 10.1038/ncomms1732

720. Early Spring Drives Butterfly Population Declines


Mormon Fritillary butterflies mating in the Rocky Mountains:
will this population survive? (Credit: National Park Service)
By ScienceDaily, March 16, 2012  

Early snowmelt caused by climate change in the Colorado Rocky Mountains snowballs into two chains of events: a decrease in the number of flowers, which, in turn, decreases available nectar. The result is decline in a population of the Mormon Fritillary butterfly, Speyeria mormonia.

Using long-term data on date of snowmelt, butterfly population sizes and flower numbers at the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory, Carol Boggs, a biologist at Stanford University, and colleagues uncovered multiple effects of early snowmelt on the growth rate of an insect population.

"Predicting effects of climate change on organisms' population sizes will be difficult in some cases due to lack of knowledge of the species' biology," said Boggs, lead author of a paper reporting the results online in this week's journal Ecology Letters.

Taking into account the butterfly's life cycle and the factors determining egg production was important to the research.

Butterflies lay eggs (then die) in their first summer; the caterpillars from those eggs over-winter without eating and develop into adults in the second summer.
In laboratory experiments, the amount of nectar a female butterfly ate determined the number of eggs she laid. This suggested that flower availability might be important to changes in population size.

Early snowmelt in the first year leads to lower availability of the butterfly's preferred flower species, a result of newly developing plants being exposed to early-season frosts that kill flower buds.

The ecologists showed that reduced flower--and therefore nectar--availability per butterfly adversely affected butterfly population growth rate.

Early snowmelt in the second year of the butterfly life cycle worsened the effect, probably through direct killing of caterpillars during early-season frosts.
The combined effects of snowmelt in the two consecutive years explained more than four-fifths of the variation in population growth rate.

"Because species in natural communities are interconnected, the effects of climate change on any single species can easily be underestimated," said Saran Twombly, program director in the National Science Foundation's Division of Environmental Biology, which funded the research.

"This study combines long-term, data models, and an understanding of species interactions to underscore the complex effects climate change has on natural populations."

"It's very unusual for research to uncover a simple mechanism that can explain almost all the variation in growth rate of an insect population," said David Inouye, a biologist at the University of Maryland and co-author of the paper.
Indeed, "one climate parameter can have multiple effects on an organism's population growth," Boggs said. "This was previously not recognized for species such as butterflies that live for only one year.

"We can already predict that this coming summer will be a difficult one for the butterflies," she said, "because the very low snowpack in the mountains this winter makes it likely that there will be significant frost damage."

"Long-term studies such as ours are important to understanding the 'ecology of place,' and the effects of weather and possible climate change on population numbers," said Inouye.

"This research is critical to assessing the broader effects of weather on an ever-changing Earth," he said. "By facilitating long-term studies, field stations such as the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory are an invaluable asset."


Story Source:
The above story is reprinted from materials provided by National Science Foundation.
Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:
  1. Carol L. Boggs, David W. Inouye. A single climate driver has direct and indirect effects on insect population dynamicsEcology Letters, 2012; DOI: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01766.x

Monday, March 19, 2012

719. Fundamental Steps Needed Now in Global Redesign of Earth System Governance, Experts Say


ScienceDaily, March 16, 2012 

Some 32 social scientists and researchers from around
the world have concluded that fundamental reforms of global
environmental governance are needed to avoid dangerous
changes in the Earth system. (Credit: © Alx / Fotolia)
Some 32 social scientists and researchers from around the world, including a Senior Sustainability Scholar at Arizona State University, have concluded that fundamental reforms of global environmental governance are needed to avoid dangerous changes in the Earth system. The scientists argued in the March 16 edition of the journal Science that the time is now for a "constitutional moment" in world politics.

Research now indicates that the world is nearing critical tipping points in the Earth system, including on climate and biodiversity, which if not addressed through a new framework of governance could lead to rapid and irreversible change.

"Science assessments indicate that human activities are moving several of Earth's sub-systems outside the range of natural variability typical for the previous 500,000 years," wrote the authors in the opening of "Navigating the Anthropocene: Improving Earth System Governance."

Reducing the risk of potential global environmental disaster requires the development of "a clear and ambitious roadmap for institutional change and effective sustainability governance within the next decade," comparable in scale and importance to the reform of international governance that followed World War II, they wrote.

In particular, the group argued for the creation of a Sustainable Development Council that would better integrate sustainability concerns across the United Nations system. Giving a leading role to the 20 largest economies (G20) would help the council act effectively. The authors also suggested an upgrade of the UN Environment Program to a full-fledged international organization, a move that would give it greater authority and more secure funding.

To keep these institutions accountable to the public, the scientists called for stronger consultative rights for representatives of civil society, including representatives from developing countries, NGOs, consumers and indigenous peoples.

"We should seek input from people closest to the ground, not just from the elites, not just at the 30,000-feet level," noted Kenneth W. Abbott, a professor of international relations in ASU's Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law. "Consultations should not take place only at the global scale, where the broadest policies are created, but also at local scales, smaller scales, all scales," he said.

To improve the speed of decision-making in international negotiations, the authors called for stronger reliance on qualified majority voting. "There has to be a change in international negotiating procedures from the current situation, in which no action can be taken unless consensus is reached among all participating governments," Abbott said.

The authors also called for governments "to close remaining regulatory gaps at the global level," including the treatment of emerging technologies.

"A great deal of attention has been given to issues such as climate change, yet nanotechnology and other emerging technologies, which may bring significant benefits, also carry potential risks for sustainable development," Abbott said.
Relying on research by Abbott and his colleagues at ASU's College of Law, the authors wrote that emerging technologies "need an international institutional arrangement-such as one or several multilateral framework conventions" to support forecasting and transparency, and to ensure that environmental risks are taken into account.

"Working to make the world economy more green and to create an effective institutional framework for sustainable development will be the two main focal points at this summer's United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development in Rio de Janeiro," Abbott said. "This article was written to bring urgency to those discussions and to outline specific 'building blocks' for a more effective and sustainable Earth system governance system."

The authors also argued for increased financial support for poorer nations. "More substantial financial resources could be made available through novel financial mechanisms, such as global emissions markets or air transportation levies for sustainability purposes," they wrote.

Lead author Frank Biermann, of Free University Amsterdam and Lund University, Sweden, said, "Societies must change course to steer away from critical tipping points in the Earth system that could lead to rapid and irreversible change. Incremental change is no longer sufficient to bring about societal change at the level and with the speed needed to stop Earth system transformation.

"Structural change in global governance is needed, both inside and outside the UN system and involving both public and private actors," said Biermann, who also is chair of the scientific steering committee of the Earth System Governance Project.

All 32 authors of the Science article are affiliated with the Earth System Governance Project, a global alliance of researchers and leading research institutions, specializing in the scientific study of international and national environmental governance. ASU's Abbott is one of some 50 lead faculty of the Earth System Governance Project. Lead faculty are scientists of high international reputation who share responsibility for research on earth system governance.

Story Source:
The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Arizona State University, via Newswise.
Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.

Journal Reference:
  1. F. Biermann, K. Abbott, S. Andresen, K. Backstrand, S. Bernstein, M. M. Betsill, H. Bulkeley, B. Cashore, J. Clapp, C. Folke, A. Gupta, J. Gupta, P. M. Haas, A. Jordan, N. Kanie, T. Kluvankova-Oravska, L. Lebel, D. Liverman, J. Meadowcroft, R. B. Mitchell, P. Newell, S. Oberthur, L. Olsson, P. Pattberg, R. Sanchez-Rodriguez, H. Schroeder, A. Underdal, S. C. Vieira, C. Vogel, O. R. Young, A. Brock, R. Zondervan. Navigating the Anthropocene: Improving Earth System GovernanceScience, 2012; 335 (6074): 1306 DOI: 10.1126/science.1217255