Sunday, September 20, 2026

3721. Cuba’s Market Reforms: Reflections on Wilder Pérez Varona’s Contribution

By Kamran Nayeri, September 20, 2026

Wilder Pérez Varona

Wilder Pérez Varona’s intervention in the discussion of market reforms introduced by the leadership of the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) and quickly adopted by the National Assembly of People’s Power in June is a welcome and thoughtful contribution. I will focus my remarks on the interview Ariel Dacal Diaz conducted with him, published in La Joven Cuba in July, translated into English, and posted on the Links website on July 30. I published my initial assessment of the proposed market reforms in Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism (Nayeri, 2026) on July 11. I urge readers to consult it before proceeding, as I will not repeat my earlier argument here and will build on it.

Currently, Pérez is a postdoctoral fellow in sociology at the Institute of Economy and Society in Contemporary Argentina. Before moving to Argentina, he was the managing director of the Institute of Philosophy in Havana, a socialist think tank that serves as the Communist Party of Cuba's cadre school. Thus, he writes from the standpoint of someone intimately familiar with Cuba's problems and its economic and political system and keenly interested in seeing its long-term crisis resolved in favor of socialism.

Pérez’s overall view of the market reforms under discussion comes at the conclusion of the interview:

“The future of Cuban socialism will not depend solely on how much the economy grows. It will depend on whether those who produce wealth also have a say in decisions about how it is used. If reforms merely modernize mechanisms of accumulation but leave existing power relations intact or even reinforce them, they will have changed the economy without transforming what, from a socialist perspective, really matters: who governs the collective wealth and on whose behalf.”

“The most significant change is not more market, but the redefined relationship between ownership and power. A company can still call itself socialist while workers and citizens no longer have a real say in its affairs, thereby rendering social ownership a legal fiction.” (Pérez, 2026)

He offers an example:

“GAESA [a Cuban conglomerate owned by the Cuban Revolutionary Armed Forces] is the clearest example. Beyond recent news regarding the release of assets, under these reforms it could retain its management forms and convert companies it already runs into shareholdings. On paper, ownership will remain with the people; in practice, it will be the same people making decisions as before the reform”.(ibid.)

Pérez also writes:

“This [the reforms] also alters the socialist project’s logic. For decades, despite many contradictions, equality was the model’s starting point. As [Cuban president Miguel] Díaz-Canel stated, this sequence is apparently being reversed: first accumulate, then redistribute. Growth is no longer subordinate to social justice; social justice now depends on growth.’

“This represents a shift in economic philosophy. The market can be a useful tool for developing a socialist economy, but it cannot substitute for politics. If new opportunities for accumulation are not accompanied by transparency, democratic regulation and social control, we risk replacing an inefficient bureaucracy with a new economic elite closely linked to state power.” (ibid.)

Marx’s socialism vs. Cuban socialism  

For decades, the discussion among supporters of the Cuban revolution has been murky on what socialism is and how to transition to it. In my assessment of the market reforms, I have contrasted Marx’s view of socialism with what has become accepted as Cuban “socialism” (Nayeri, 2026).  Marx’s concept of socialism is a society free from alienation from nature and social alienation, achieved through a socialist revolution led by the proletariat as a self-organized, self-mobilized class. On the other hand, Cuba's socialism has always been about building an egalitarian society. As Pérez stressed: “For decades, despite many contradictions, equality was the model’s starting point.”

This notion of “socialism” has made Cuba a welfare state created by the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC). I have contrasted Costa Rica, which in 1948 created the first capitalist welfare state in Latin America, with Cuba and Nicaragua, both of which had revolutions in 1959 and 1979, respectively; I have found that taking life expectancy, infant mortality, index of social security, democratic rights and democracy, and the desire to remain in the country of their birth as opposed to migrating to the United Staes, Costa Ricans fare better than Cubans and Nicaraguans (Nayeri, 2025).

What distinguished Cuba in the first three decades after the 1959 revolution was its policies to achieve greater equality in income and access to basic necessities, as well as education, health care, and housing, among Cubans, especially for women and Afro-Cubans. In the mid-1980s, people experiencing poverty—defined as those who could not meet their basic needs with what they earned—made up no more than 6%. In contrast, across Latin America during those years, the poverty rate averaged more than 40%, and in some countries, it exceeded 70%. (Espina, 2025). Thus, we can think of Cuba as a welfare state, a state that created the institutions and conditions for more equality.

However, the PCC and the Cuban state were able to do this largely because of subsidies from the Soviet Union, which totaled $60 billion over those three decades. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the number of poor people had more than doubled, reaching about 15% in 1994 (ibid.). Espina (2026) estimates poverty to be about 45% of the population now. She cautions readers that she cannot provide a more accurate estimate because the Cuban government does not provide the necessary statistics and does not allow surveys to determine an accurate rate.[1]

The roots of Cuba’s economic crisis

The Cuban leadership has consistently claimed that the ongoing economic crisis in Cuba is due to the U.S. blockade that officially began on February 7, 1962. Pérez and I have pointed out that imperialist hostility and the blockade, while harming the Cuban economy, are not the root cause of the ongoing crisis.  Pérez notes “inefficient bureaucracy” in Cuba and writes: “There is consensus that the bureaucratic statist model has run its course. Cuba needs more dynamic companies, greater managerial autonomy and new scope for economic initiative.” (Pérez, 2006). Even the PCC leadership acknowledges this, arguing that socialism is impossible without generating wealth that can be broadly distributed among the people.

However, the PCC points to China and Vietnam as models for achieving these dynamics through the market. As Prime Minister Marrero told legislators, the measures formally recognize the market as “an instrument for the efficient allocation of resources” (Atkins, 2026).

 

Pérez adds a significant issue: “There is consensus that the bureaucratic statist model has run its course. Cuba needs more dynamic companies, greater managerial autonomy, and new scope for economic initiative. But autonomy for whom and under what controls?” (Pérez, 2026)

Further on, he put his finger on the crucial problem of the democratization of the Cuban economic and political system: “The crucial question is whether Cuba will have sufficiently democratic institutions to prevent economic power from ultimately capturing political power. The reforms redistribute much more than just income; they redistribute power. This new distribution of power, rather than the economic measures themselves, will ultimately define Cuba’s future.” (ibid.) Distribution of power to whom?

He further adds: “That is why the debate should not be reduced to a choice between the state and market. The fundamental question is whether these reforms will further socialize economic power or pave the way for a new structure of privileges.” (ibid.)

The absolute need for socialist democracy

As I have already argued (Nayeri, 2026; August 11, 2024; October 16, 2024), the Cuban revolution, like other revolutions after the October 1917 socialist revolution in Russia, has been a national democratic revolution against imperialism and for economic development led by parties that essentially followed the Soviet Union under Joseph Stalin, that is, the Stalinist one-party state that combined economic development and industrialization with a measure of welfare state policies. Stalinist parties led all these revolutions, except in Cuba, where the July 26th Movement led it. However, in Cuba too, Fidel Castro who became a socialist in his university years, mistook the pro-Moscow Popular Socialist Party (PSP) as the representation of Marxist-Leninism and the Soviet Union as socialist. He maintained this belief throughout his life (Nayeri, April 19, 2024).  That is why, in the Great Debate of 1963-65, Che Guevara, who was a sharp critic of the Soviet Union, was eventually sidelined, and in 1965, with the founding of the Communist Party of Cuba, left for Africa and later Bolivia to help the revolutionary struggle and was eventually captured and executed.  

Thus, Cuban socialism has never been rooted in self-organized, self-mobilized working people.

Even Guevara’s vision of the transition to socialism, which stressed the need to do away with the law of value, had two key weaknesses. First, his Budgetary Finance System (BSF) began with political decisions of Cuba’s leadership that shaped the overall economic plan of JUCEPLAN (the planning board). The ministries then shared this plan with enterprises and production units. The ministries summarized their considerations and communicated them to JUCEPLAN, which adjusted the economy-wide plan accordingly. The ministries then developed plans for specific enterprises and supervised their implementation. JUCEPLAN oversaw the economy’s central controls, assisted by the Treasury Ministry in financial control and the Labor Ministry in planning labor allocation. In other words, the state bureaucracy managed key decisions about what to produce, how to produce it, and how to distribute the products. Guevara’s plan left no room for self-organized, self-mobilized workers.

Second, when Mandel, who was in Havana at Guevara's invitation, tried to convince him of the need for socialist democracy, he was unmoved. His idea of Cuban workers' participation in decision-making appears in Socialism and Man in Cuba (1965) as a dialogue between Fidel Castro, the revolution's undisputed leader, and the masses at public rallies.  Over the decades, the PCC leadership occasionally organized Cuban workers in workplaces or neighborhoods to discuss major policy proposals.  At these meetings, participants recorded proposed changes and submitted them to the PCC leadership for consideration, sometimes including them in the final policy resolution. During the massive downsizing of the sugar industry, when world sugar prices collapsed, sugar workers were involved in discussions of how to carry it out.

However, such “consultations” with the Cuban working people are substitutes for socialist democracy, which has been lacking in Cuba. To put it another way, the PCC, not the self-organization and self-activity of the Cuban working people, has been driving policy decisions about the economy and society in Cuba.

Economic activity can be organized in three ways: by the market, by the state (bureaucracy), and by the working people themselves. The capitalist mode of production is the most relevant way to organize economic activity by the market, as Karl Marx best analyzed. In all so-called “socialist countries,” the state has organized production and, to a lesser degree, the state-managed market. Market Socialism is most identified with Yugoslavia under Tito, an extreme form of it. History has shown that in all such cases, this form of production leads to a market economy, that is capitalism. The working people's self-organization for production is exemplified by family farming and cooperatives, and, for brief periods, by workers’ management of nationalized industry.

A note is in order here about the characterization of these “socialist countries” as workers’ states. This mistake stems from Trotsky’s analysis of the degeneration of the socialist revolution in Russia in The Revolution Betrayed: What Is the Soviet Union and Where Is It Going? (1936) as I have discussed in detail (Nayeri, 2006). He correctly argued that the Stalinist counterrevolution represented the destruction of the 1917 socialist revolution and its leadership in the Bolshevik Party (renamed the Communist Party in 1919), its program and tradition, and the driving of the proletariat in the young Soviet Republic out of politics. Yet he still insisted that nationalized property, a monopoly on foreign trade, and central planning constituted a workers’ state, albeit a degenerated one. He hoped a political revolution by the working class would remove bureaucracy and revive the socialist revolution.  However, in Marx’s theory of the state, the dictatorship of the proletariat, the self-organized and self-mobilized working class is the absolute requirement for a workers’ state to exist, not administrative and legal categories like nationalized property, monopoly of foreign trade, and central planning. Trotsky predicted that the Soviet Union would revive as a healthy workers’ state through a political revolution; if that did not happen, it would return to capitalism. However, he anticipated resistance to such a counterrevolution, going from a workers’ state, albeit a degenerated one, to capitalism, by the working people. History showed that these “socialist countries” did return to capitalism, and the bureaucracy reemerged as capitalist. However, the working people did not oppose this, and in some cases, they celebrated it.  

As in the Soviet Union, which Trotsky analyzed with mastery (Trotsky, 1936, Chapter IV), Cuban workers, sidelined by the state bureaucracy, have no political incentive to innovate and improve the production of goods and services. As a result, labor productivity in Cuba has lagged.

Concluding remarks

In my essay on the systemic crisis of economy and society in Cuba (Nayeri, August 11, 2024), I followed Hope Bastian’s use of Pierre Bourdieu's Form of Capital (1986) to trace the ideological shifts in Cuban society over the decades. A post-Marxist, Bourdieu views capital as the power of an individual or social group to mobilize economic resources for their own ends. He discusses three forms of capital: economic capital that can be readily converted to money and is constituted in property rights; cultural capital, such as academic or artistic attainments that can be monetized; and social capital, or a network of powerful connections that can make access to consumer goods easier and can be turned into economic capital.

The proposed market reforms indicate that the PCC leadership is opening the way for a capitalist class in the Marxist sense in Cuba. This is what Pérez is concerned about. The PCC leadership is half-hearted about it, as it was with earlier, less drastic market reforms.

Bastian has discussed three forms of capital since the 1959 revolution. The first is revolutionary cultural capital, which arose from revolutionary power and became a source of socioeconomic changes in the 1960s. In the 1970s, material incentives were added to the moral incentive of becoming a Fidelista and joining the Communist Party founded in 1965. Bastian does not deny Cubans joined the Communist Party because they wanted to contribute to improving Cuban society. In her interviews, she found evidence of material and moral incentives for joining the revolutionary movement. She also offers examples of individuals who, despite many years of selfless revolutionary service, refused to use their prestige to find much-needed resources in the 1990s. However, over time, fewer such individuals emerged.

During the depression years of the 1990s (Special Period), a new social configuration emerged, which provided access to power, consumption, and resources. The importance of revolutionary cultural capital decreased, while economic capital and social capital (access to a network of well-connected individuals) increased.

Economic capital now appears to be gaining power in Cuba, as reflected in the PCC market reforms. A new class of capitalists has been forming in Cuba, as reflected in Díaz-Canel meeting with representatives of the Cuban “private sector” reported in Granma. (Martinez, 2026).

However, the PCC leadership, backed into a corner by a severe economic crisis at home and aggressive U.S. imperialist policy to put in place a government subservient to Washington, is opting for a course toward capitalism while keeping the PCC in power, that is, the Vietnam model (The China model is not appropriate as Cuba simply has no resources to create a world economic power within fifty years).

The problem is that the U.S. rulers have their eye on taking over the Cuban economy as they had before the 1959 revolution. (Schlenker and Augustin, 2026)

If the PCC moves ahead with its market reforms, which will heavily and quickly affect the working people of Cuba who are already largely in poverty, it will lose much of the support it currently has, which bars imperialist military intervention. If it does not, the economic crisis will deepen.

While Pérez and I both wish for working-class power intervening in this situation, there is no such possibility in sight. For many decades, the Cuban working class were denied independent political action and urged to follow the leadership of the PCC.

There is also no sign of a revolutionary breakout anywhere in Latin America and the rest of the world.

As I have argued, the socialist revolution that Marx and Engels predicted to break out in their lifetime in Western Europe never materialized because of the rise of labor aristocracy and bureaucracy that became supporters of the Western imperialist regimes.  This formed the basis of the reformist Socialist Democracy of Second International.

The Russian socialist revolution of 1917 degenerated not only because of Russia's economic backwardness but also because socialist revolution in the West never happened.

As a result, the world revolution turned to the periphery of capitalism, where national democratic revolutions broke out against colonialism and imperialism. In some cases, like China, Vietnam, Korea, and Yugoslavia, Stalinist parties led these revolutions and declared their one-party rule socialist because it helped win the support of the working people. I have already discussed the case of Cuba.  However, one-party states running the economy and society are not stable, as they have all returned to open capitalist social formations in which the Communist Party still rules.

Cuba's future cannot be different.

References:

Atkins, C. J. “Cuba Embarks on Emergency Reforms.”  Communist Party U.S.A. June 23, 2026.

Bastian, Hope. Hope Bastian. Everyday Adjustments in Havana: Economic Reforms, Mobility, and Emerging Inequalities. 2018.

Guevara, Ernesto Che. “Socialism and Man in Cuba.” 1965.

Castro Ruz, Fidel and Ignacio Ramonet. My Life: A Spoken Autobiography. 2006.

Espina, Mayra. “Look at Cuba: Growing Inequalities.” ReVista: Harvard Review of Latin America. Apr 22, 2025.

__________. “Poverty In Cuba Today.” CEDA. May 1, 2026.

Martínez Hernández, Leticia. “Díaz-Canel se reunió con representantes del sector privado cubano.” Granma. August 25, 2026.

Nayeri, Kamran. Critical Theories of the Class Nature of the Soviet Union: A Marxian Survey.” III Conferencia Internacional La Obra de Carlos Marx y Los desafíos del Siglo XXI (The Third Conference on the Work of Karl Marx and the Challenges of the 21st Century) in Havana, Cuba, in May 2006.

_____________.  “The Political Thoughts of Fidel Castro.” Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism. April 19, 2024.

_____________. “Economic and Political Thoughts of Ernesto Che Guevara.” Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism. April 30, 2024.

_____________. “Systemic Crisis of the Cuban Economy and Society.” Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism. August 11, 2024.

_____________. “The Cuban Revolution and Other Socialist Revolutions of the Twentieth Century: A Reassessment.” Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism. October 16, 2024.

_____________. “A Historical Comparative Analysis of Costa Rica's Development.” Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism. October 22, 2025.

_____________. “Cuba Adopts Wide-Ranging Free-Market Reforms: An Assessment.” Our Place in the World: A Journal of Ecosocialism. July 11, 2026.

Savioli, Arminio. “The Nature of Cuban Socialism,” L’Unita, February 1, 1961.

Schlenker, Lee and Ed Augustin. “Trump and Rubio Allies Are Vying for Control of Cuba’s assets If Regime Falls.” The Guardian. September 17, 2026.

Toussaint, Eric. “Ernest Mandel, Revolutionary Cuba and Che Guevara.” CounterPunch, January 12, 2024.



[1] She also adds: “Poverty exists in degrees; within that 45% figure, there are moderate, intermediate, and extreme situations the latter falling below the threshold of mere survival, a point at which existence becomes extremely fragile and subhuman.”

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